Kincaid Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leesburg

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,656, 26% above the Leesburg average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 15 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.