Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107610503 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 8,309 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg
Census tract 51107610503 covers part of Leesburg, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,309. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,405
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$195,440
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1266, -77.5272 · click any tract to drill in
Why Leesburg scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,778 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4
How Leesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 1 yrs
- 14.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.1%Peak (2016)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Leesburg
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. At $2,778 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Leesburg commands.
The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 32 eviction filings across 1 observed years. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7/10.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 14.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610503?
Census tract 51107610503 in Leesburg scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610503?
Median gross rent is $2,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610503?
2.9% of residents in tract 51107610503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,309.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 22th, minority 56th, housing 1th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.10% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107610503 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107610503 compare to Leesburg overall?
Tract 51107610503 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village at Leesburg
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610504
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610400
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kincaid Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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