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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Leesburg Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107610503 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 8,309 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg

Leesburg in Loudoun County anchors census tract 51107610503, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,778 a month against an average household income of $195,440 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,405
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$195,440

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
Very Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Moderate
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,987 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1266, -77.5272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leesburg scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,778 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Leesburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Leesburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 610503Leesburg: 3.53.5Leesburgparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 14.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2016)
  • 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Leesburg

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 14.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610503?

Census tract 51107610503 in Leesburg scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610503?

Median gross rent is $2,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610503?

2.9% of residents in tract 51107610503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 22th, minority 56th, housing 1th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.10% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51107610503 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51107610503 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610503 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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