Neighborhood · Lowes Island, VA

Canterwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,798 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Canterwood is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lowes Island with 1 census tract and a population of 4,798 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $3,123/month sits 10% higher than the Lowes Island citywide median ($2,840).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Canterwood vs Lowes Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.4% +26%

Lowes Island: 28.1%

Average gross rent

$3,123 +10%

Lowes Island: $2,840

Average HH income

$250,001 +14%

Lowes Island: $220,238

Poverty rate

0.4% -44%

Lowes Island: 0.7%

Renter share

8.3% -22%

Lowes Island: 10.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canterwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Canterwood scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

35% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Economic stress

0.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Risk score comparison

Canterwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Canterwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51107611208	5.1	4,798	35%	$3,123

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 40%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Canterwood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3Total filings (sum)
2.40%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2016)
2.40%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Canterwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility shutoff threat
6.2%Food insecurity
3.8%SNAP enrollment
4.6%No health insurance
19.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Canterwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Canterwood?

Canterwood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Canterwood compare to Lowes Island overall?

Canterwood scores 0.7 points higher than Lowes Island overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $3,123 vs $2,840.

What is the average rent in Canterwood?

Median gross rent in Canterwood is $3,123/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Canterwood residents are renters?

8% of Canterwood households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Lowes Island). The neighborhood has 4,798 residents.

Is Canterwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Canterwood sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Canterwood for landlords?

Canterwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lowes Island as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Canterwood?

Canterwood has 4,600 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Canterwood

5.6 Seneca Green 2 tracts · pop 11,735 5.4 Potomac Falls 4 tracts · pop 19,406 5.3 Montebello 4 tracts · pop 24,904 5.8 Regency at Ashburn 2 tracts · pop 7,360 5.2 Herndon Heights 2 tracts · pop 7,238 5.3 Potomac Green 2 tracts · pop 7,779

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lowes Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Canterwood.

5.5 Seneca Green 2 tracts · pop 11,735

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