4 census tracts · pop 24,744 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.6–5.8
Avonlea is a white-asian neighborhood in South Riding with 4 census tracts and a population of 24,744 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,961/month sits 2% higher than the South Riding citywide median ($2,905).
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.6–5.8
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51107611812 | 5.8 | 3,262 | 50% | $2,508 |
| 51107611808 | 5.2 | 5,805 | 37% | $2,964 |
| 51107611807 | 4.6 | 7,920 | 14% | $3,501 |
| 51107611811 | 4.6 | 7,757 | 31% | $2,599 |
Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
Avonlea scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Avonlea scores 0.4 points higher than South Riding overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Median rent: $2,961 vs $2,905.
Median gross rent in Avonlea is $2,961/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
17% of Avonlea households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in South Riding). The neighborhood has 24,744 residents.
Avonlea sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
The highest-risk constituent tract in Avonlea is census tract 51107611812 (score 5.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.8 — a spread of 1.2 points.
Avonlea carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to South Riding as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Avonlea has 25,400 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Avonlea.
