Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Sterling Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51107611601 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,035
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51107611601 in Sterling, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,035 residents. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 13% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$143,041
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 38.9979, -77.4237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,570 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6
How Sterling compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sterling
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,570, 20% above the Sterling average.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 1 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $143,041.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611601?
Census tract 51107611601 in Sterling scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611601?
Median gross rent is $2,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611601?
4.3% of residents in tract 51107611601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,035.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 14th, minority 72th, housing 50th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611601 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611601 compare to Sterling overall?
Tract 51107611601 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Sterling at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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