Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Cornerstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680001602 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51680001602 sits in the Cornerstone area of Lynchburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,451 residents. Cost burden runs 61% here against 43.8% across Lynchburg City.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$50,090
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3432, -79.2233 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cornerstone scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,316 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Cornerstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cornerstone
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
At $1,316 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Lynchburg commands. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Lynchburg City average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $50,090. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680001602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001602?
Census tract 51680001602 in the Cornerstone neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680001602?
Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001602?
23.5% of residents in tract 51680001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,451.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 8th, minority 42th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 51680001602 considered part of Cornerstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001602 fall within Cornerstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51680001602 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51680001602 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680001602 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lower Rivermont
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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