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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Lochhaven Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710001100 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,941 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 51710001100 in the Lochhaven area of Norfolk, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 40% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,091
Renter share80.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$42,422

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lochhaven
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#508 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9297, -76.3123 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lochhaven scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Lochhaven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lochhaven risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0011004.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 599Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 31.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 41.4%Peak (2011)
  • 200Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lochhaven

This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $42,422 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 27.5% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 599 filings here across 2 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 41.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710001100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710001100?

Census tract 51710001100 in the Lochhaven neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710001100?

Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710001100?

19.7% of residents in tract 51710001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,941.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 8th, minority 73th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 51710001100 considered part of Lochhaven?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710001100 fall within Lochhaven (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710001100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 599 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.77% of renter households, peaking at 41.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710001100 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710001100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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