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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Tarrallton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710006501 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 51710006501 in the Tarrallton area of Norfolk, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 34% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,237
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$46,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Tarrallton
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9327, -76.2074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tarrallton scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,141 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Tarrallton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tarrallton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0065014.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 706Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 36.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 39.4%Peak (2011)
  • 294Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tarrallton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tarrallton

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 706 eviction filings across 2 observed years. At $1,141 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Norfolk commands.

It sits 0.6 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1. The worst year on record was 2011, when 39.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 36.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006501?

Census tract 51710006501 in the Tarrallton neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006501?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006501?

17.4% of residents in tract 51710006501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 45th, minority 59th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006501 considered part of Tarrallton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006501 fall within Tarrallton (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 706 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.25% of renter households, peaking at 39.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006501 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006501 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006501 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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