Potomac Town Center Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leesylvania
Tract 51153900701 · Prince William County, VA · pop 7,048 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51153900701 covers part of the Potomac Town Center area of Woodbridge, VA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It sits 2.5 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Leesylvania and the region
Centroid at 38.6209, -77.2768 · click any tract to drill in
Why Potomac Town Center scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Potomac Town Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 246Total filings over 1 yrs
- 18.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.4%Peak (2016)
- 246Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Potomac Town Center. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Potomac Town Center
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Prince William County average of 43.3%. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 246 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 18.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 18.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,249, close to the Woodbridge average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51153900701
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900701?
What is the average rent in tract 51153900701?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900701?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900701?
Is tract 51153900701 considered part of Potomac Town Center?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900701?
What share of households in tract 51153900701 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153900701 compare to Leesylvania overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Leesylvania
Top eight tracts in Leesylvania ranked by composite eviction-risk score.