Neighborhood · Ranked #31,898 of 84,120 nationally

Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbridge

Tract 51153900601 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,620 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Featherstone Shores neighborhood of Woodbridge for landlords? Census tract 51153900601 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $105,817 a year. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 11% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units975

Renter share10.8%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate18.1%

Median income$105,817

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region

Centroid at 38.6363, -77.2572 · click any tract to drill in

Why Featherstone Shores scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Woodbridge

7.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

18.1% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Woodbridge

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Woodbridge

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Woodbridge

5.5

How Featherstone Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.1%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
15.7%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
19.2%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153900601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900601?

Census tract 51153900601 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900601?

18.1% of residents in tract 51153900601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,620.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 89th, minority 84th, housing 36th.

Is tract 51153900601 considered part of Featherstone Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900601 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51153900601 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51153900601 compare to Woodbridge overall?

Tract 51153900601 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge

Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.