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Neighborhood · Woodbridge, VA

Jefferson Plaza Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,175 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6.4-6.4

Jefferson Plaza is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Woodbridge with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,175 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,955/month sits 7% lower than the Woodbridge citywide average ($2,101).

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Jefferson Plaza vs Woodbridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +61%
Woodbridge: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,955 -7%
Woodbridge: $2,101
Average HH income
$80,134 -20%
Woodbridge: $100,370
Poverty rate
10.4% +15%
Woodbridge: 9.0%
Renter share
83.8% +84%
Woodbridge: 45.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jefferson Plaza and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.4-6.4

Why Jefferson Plaza scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4-7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 6.2-6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1-3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 8.4-8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5-5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
10.4% below poverty line · Range 2.4-2.8 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3-4.3 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Jefferson Plaza vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Jefferson Plaza score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Jefferson Plaza: 6.46.4Jefferson PlazaNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Jefferson Plaza

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153900203 6.4 4,589 45% $2,159
51153900602 6.4 3,586 49% $1,694
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Jefferson Plaza

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 332Total filings (sum)
  • 27.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 27.28%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jefferson Plaza

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Jefferson Plaza

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Jefferson Plaza?

Jefferson Plaza scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Jefferson Plaza compare to Woodbridge overall?

Jefferson Plaza scores 0.7 points higher than Woodbridge overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,955 vs $2,101.

Q3

What is the average rent in Jefferson Plaza?

Average gross rent in Jefferson Plaza is $1,955/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Jefferson Plaza residents are renters?

84% of Jefferson Plaza households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Woodbridge). The neighborhood has 8,175 residents.

Q5

Is Jefferson Plaza a high social-vulnerability area?

Jefferson Plaza sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Jefferson Plaza have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Jefferson Plaza is census tract 51153900203 (score 6.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 6.4, a spread of 0 points.

Q7

How safe is Jefferson Plaza for landlords?

Jefferson Plaza carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Woodbridge as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Jefferson Plaza?

Jefferson Plaza has 8,585 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (39.1%), Hispanic / Latino (34.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jefferson Plaza

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Woodbridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jefferson Plaza.

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