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Neighborhood · Woodbridge, VA

Marumsco Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 10,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 5.8–7.2

Marumsco Village takes in 3 census tracts of Woodbridge, VA, population 10,059. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Woodbridge rate of 28.9%. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.8 to 7.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records carry 19 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.7% of renter households. Running cool is economic stress, at 3/10. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Woodbridge, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 2.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Featherstone Shores and Marumsco Hills.

Average gross rent runs $2,002, close to the Woodbridge average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Marumsco Village vs Woodbridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% +26%
Woodbridge: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$2,002 -5%
Woodbridge: $2,101
Average HH income
$98,103 -2%
Woodbridge: $100,370
Poverty rate
10.8% +20%
Woodbridge: 9.0%
Renter share
30.6% -33%
Woodbridge: 45.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marumsco Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.8–7.2

Why Marumsco Village scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 4.8–6.2 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–3.1 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.2–8.4 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–5.5 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.1 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.9 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Marumsco Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Marumsco Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.2Marumsco VillageNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Marumsco Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 5.8 to 7.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Marumsco Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153900201 7.2 2,441 57% $1,993
51153900202 6 4,124 15% $2,052
51153900301 5.8 3,494 48% $1,948
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Marumsco Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings (sum)
  • 4.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.62%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Marumsco Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Marumsco Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Marumsco Village?

Marumsco Village scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Marumsco Village compare to Woodbridge overall?

Marumsco Village scores 0.3 points higher than Woodbridge overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,002 vs $2,101.
Q3

What is the average rent in Marumsco Village?

Average gross rent in Marumsco Village is $2,002/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Marumsco Village residents are renters?

31% of Marumsco Village households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Woodbridge). The neighborhood has 10,059 residents.
Q5

Is Marumsco Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Marumsco Village sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Marumsco Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Marumsco Village is census tract 51153900201 (score 7.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7.2, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Marumsco Village for landlords?

Marumsco Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Woodbridge as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Marumsco Village?

Marumsco Village has 10,214 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Marumsco Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Woodbridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Marumsco Village.

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