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Neighborhood · Lake Ridge, VA

The Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 26,016 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.3–5.4

The Heights takes in 5 census tracts of Lake Ridge, VA, population 26,016. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 5.4. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.2/10. 34% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Lake Ridge rate of 27.0%.

At $2,422 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Lake Ridge commands. Court records carry 94 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 14.6% of renter households. That places it #2 of 6 neighborhoods in Lake Ridge. Judgments average 2.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $117,154.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
The Heights vs Lake Ridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.5% +24%
Lake Ridge: 27.0%
Average gross rent
$2,422 +19%
Lake Ridge: $2,033
Average HH income
$117,154 -3%
Lake Ridge: $120,844
Poverty rate
9.0% +56%
Lake Ridge: 5.8%
Renter share
24.4% +3%
Lake Ridge: 23.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.3–5.4

Why The Heights scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.6 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–10.0 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

The Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5The HeightsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3.3 to 5.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in The Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153900302 5.4 5,463 45% $1,861
51153901209 4.9 6,564 25% $2,049
51153901208 4.3 3,519 60% $3,501
51153901223 4.2 6,194 40% $1,953
51153901224 3.3 4,276 0% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Heights

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 94Total filings (sum)
  • 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.33%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Heights?

The Heights scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Heights compare to Lake Ridge overall?

The Heights scores 0.5 points higher than Lake Ridge overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,422 vs $2,033.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Heights?

Average gross rent in The Heights is $2,422/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Heights residents are renters?

24% of The Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Lake Ridge). The neighborhood has 26,016 residents.
Q5

Is The Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

The Heights sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Heights is census tract 51153900302 (score 5.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is The Heights for landlords?

The Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Ridge as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Heights?

The Heights has 25,668 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.1%), Hispanic / Latino (26.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Ridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Heights.

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