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Neighborhood · Woodbridge, VA

Marumsco Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,902 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.7–7.3

Marumsco Hills takes in 2 census tracts of Woodbridge, VA, population 8,902. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Woodbridge rate of 28.9%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.7 to 7.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2/10. 23.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Food insecurity affects 30.1% of adults, 12.3 points above the national rate. At $1,743 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Woodbridge commands.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Woodbridge, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Featherstone Shores and Marumsco Village.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $81,301. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Marumsco Hills vs Woodbridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.1% +87%
Woodbridge: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,743 -17%
Woodbridge: $2,101
Average HH income
$81,301 -19%
Woodbridge: $100,370
Poverty rate
7.1% -21%
Woodbridge: 9.0%
Renter share
38.7% -15%
Woodbridge: 45.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marumsco Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–7.3

Why Marumsco Hills scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
7.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–3.4 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Marumsco Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Marumsco Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6Marumsco HillsNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Marumsco Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153900504 7.3 5,079 70% $1,593
51153900503 5.7 3,823 34% $1,943
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Marumsco Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Marumsco Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Marumsco Hills?

Marumsco Hills scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Marumsco Hills compare to Woodbridge overall?

Marumsco Hills scores 0.7 points higher than Woodbridge overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,743 vs $2,101.
Q3

What is the average rent in Marumsco Hills?

Average gross rent in Marumsco Hills is $1,743/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Marumsco Hills residents are renters?

39% of Marumsco Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Woodbridge). The neighborhood has 8,902 residents.
Q5

Is Marumsco Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Marumsco Hills sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Marumsco Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Marumsco Hills is census tract 51153900504 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 7.3, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Marumsco Hills for landlords?

Marumsco Hills carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Woodbridge as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Marumsco Hills?

Marumsco Hills has 9,246 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (68%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Marumsco Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Woodbridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Marumsco Hills.

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