Jefferson Plaza Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900602 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,586 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51153900602 is a census tract in the Jefferson Plaza area of Woodbridge, VA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,586 residents. It sits 3.2 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6470, -77.2564 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson Plaza scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jefferson Plaza compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Jefferson Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 18.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson Plaza
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
At $1,694 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Woodbridge commands. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.3% across Prince William County.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51153900602
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900602?
What is the average rent in tract 51153900602?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900602?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900602?
Is tract 51153900602 considered part of Jefferson Plaza?
What share of households in tract 51153900602 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153900602 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.