Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810040404 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 8,377 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
51810040404 is a census tract in the Lawson Forest area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,377. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,668
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$97,315
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8802, -76.1630 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lawson Forest scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,971 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Lawson Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2016)
- 88Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The voucher gap is 16.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,971, 15% above the Virginia Beach average. It sits 0.7 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. Filings peaked in 2016 at 9.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810040404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040404?
Census tract 51810040404 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810040404?
Median gross rent is $1,971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040404?
4.1% of residents in tract 51810040404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,377.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 63th, minority 59th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51810040404 considered part of Lawson Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040404 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810040404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810040404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.55% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810040404 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810040404 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810040404 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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