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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Nimmo Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045425 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,418 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 51810045425 sits in the Nimmo area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 3,418. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$116,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Nimmo
Very High
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Moderate
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,425 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.7682, -76.0065 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nimmo scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,762 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Nimmo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nimmo risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0454253.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2016)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nimmo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nimmo

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,762 a month, rents run 61% over what the rest of Virginia Beach commands.

The voucher gap is 62.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045425

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045425?

Census tract 51810045425 in the Nimmo neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810045425?

Median gross rent is $2,762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045425?

10.8% of residents in tract 51810045425 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,418.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045425?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 7th, minority 46th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 51810045425 considered part of Nimmo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045425 fall within Nimmo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045425?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045425 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810045425 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810045425 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045425 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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