Neighborhood · Vancouver, WA

Bagley Downs Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,175 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Bagley Downs is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Vancouver with 1 census tract and a population of 4,175 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,433/month sits 16% lower than the Vancouver citywide average ($1,702).

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bagley Downs vs Vancouver How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.8% +35%

Vancouver: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$1,433 -16%

Vancouver: $1,702

Average HH income

$57,218 -27%

Vancouver: $78,156

Poverty rate

16.6% +49%

Vancouver: 11.1%

Renter share

93.7% +90%

Vancouver: 49.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bagley Downs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Bagley Downs scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

94% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

16.6% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Bagley Downs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bagley Downs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
53011041111	6.1	4,175	43%	$1,433

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 81%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 89%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bagley Downs

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

324Total filings (sum)
5.53%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak year (2018)
4.45%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Bagley Downs

What is the eviction-risk score for Bagley Downs?

Bagley Downs scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bagley Downs compare to Vancouver overall?

Bagley Downs scores 1.1 points lower than Vancouver overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,433 vs $1,702.

What is the average rent in Bagley Downs?

Average gross rent in Bagley Downs is $1,433/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bagley Downs residents are renters?

94% of Bagley Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Vancouver). The neighborhood has 4,175 residents.

Is Bagley Downs a high social-vulnerability area?

Bagley Downs sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bagley Downs for landlords?

Bagley Downs carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vancouver as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bagley Downs?

Bagley Downs has 4,515 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.9%), Other / Multiracial (12.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bagley Downs

4.7 Vancouver Mall 3 tracts · pop 13,336 3.9 Walnut Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,675 3.8 Green Meadows 2 tracts · pop 7,376 6.1 Kevanna Park 2 tracts · pop 5,942 5.1 Hazel Dell 5 tracts · pop 21,978 4.9 Ellsworth Springs 2 tracts · pop 6,107

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vancouver

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bagley Downs.

6.1 Kevanna Park 2 tracts · pop 5,942 6.1 Landover-Sharmel 1 tracts · pop 2,663 5.9 Fourth Plain Village 1 tracts · pop 3,915 5.8 Central Park 1 tracts · pop 4,445 6.4 Esther Short 1 tracts · pop 2,103 5.7 Rose Village 1 tracts · pop 4,333

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