1 census tracts · pop 4,175 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10
· range 8–8
Bagley Downs maps to a single census tract in Vancouver, WA, population 4,175. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, High tier. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Vancouver rate of 31.8%. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Court records for this tract carry 324 eviction filings. At $1,433 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Vancouver commands. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The worst year on record was 2018, when filings touched 4.5% of renter households. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Vancouver, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 3.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Esther Short and Kevanna Park. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $57,218.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bagley Downs vs VancouverHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bagley Downs
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
324Total filings (sum)
5.53%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak year (2018)
4.45%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked
About Bagley Downs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bagley Downs?
Bagley Downs scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bagley Downs compare to Vancouver overall?
Bagley Downs scores 1.4 points higher than Vancouver overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,433 vs $1,702.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bagley Downs?
Average gross rent in Bagley Downs is $1,433/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bagley Downs residents are renters?
94% of Bagley Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Vancouver). The neighborhood has 4,175 residents.
Q5
Is Bagley Downs a high social-vulnerability area?
Bagley Downs sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bagley Downs for landlords?
Bagley Downs carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vancouver as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bagley Downs?
Bagley Downs has 4,515 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.9%), Other / Multiracial (12.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
