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Neighborhood · Covington, WA

Shire Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,263 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Shire Hills maps to a single census tract in Covington, WA and houses 7,263 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Covington baseline of 29.9%, 18% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 125 eviction filings.

Average gross rent is $2,502, 12% above the Covington average of $2,232. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 9.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.8% in 2013, is well off that peak.

That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Covington. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $123,721.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shire Hills vs Covington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.9% -40%
Covington: 29.9%
Average gross rent
$2,502 +12%
Covington: $2,232
Average HH income
$123,721 -2%
Covington: $126,730
Poverty rate
4.3% -8%
Covington: 4.7%
Renter share
13.0% -38%
Covington: 21.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shire Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Shire Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Rent control risk
18% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Shire Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shire Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shire Hills: 5.25.2Shire HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.16.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Shire Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53033032005 5.2 7,263 18% $2,502
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shire Hills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 125Total filings (sum)
  • 4.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak year (2004)
  • 4.76%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Shire Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shire Hills?

Shire Hills scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shire Hills compare to Covington overall?

Shire Hills scores 0.7 points lower than Covington overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 18% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,502 vs $2,232.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shire Hills?

Average gross rent in Shire Hills is $2,502/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shire Hills residents are renters?

13% of Shire Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Covington). The neighborhood has 7,263 residents.
Q5

Is Shire Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Shire Hills sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Shire Hills for landlords?

Shire Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Covington as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Shire Hills?

Shire Hills has 7,543 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.9%), Hispanic / Latino (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shire Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Covington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shire Hills.

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