Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goodyear

Tract 04013723309 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,875 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 04013723309 sits in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 3,875 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 83% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 12% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,280/month against a median household income of $114,150 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 2% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units1,551

Renter share10.4%

SVI overall0.06

Poverty rate1.1%

Median income$114,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.3339, -112.4163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

1.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,280 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Estrella Mountain Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.6%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013723309

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723309?

Census tract 04013723309 in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013723309?

Median gross rent is $2,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723309?

1.1% of residents in tract 04013723309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,875.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 2th, minority 25th, housing 10th.

Is tract 04013723309 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013723309 fall within Estrella Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013723309 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013723309 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013723309 scores 5.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.