Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Centerra Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061052 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,518 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

In the Centerra area of Goodyear, census tract 04013061052 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,749 monthly, set against $86,741 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 15% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,886

Renter share41.2%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$86,741

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4432, -112.3921 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centerra scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,749 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Centerra compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.3%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
15.3%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centerra

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061052

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061052?

Census tract 04013061052 in the Centerra neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061052?

Median gross rent is $1,749/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061052?

6.9% of residents in tract 04013061052 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,518.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061052?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 73th, minority 78th, housing 14th.

Is tract 04013061052 considered part of Centerra?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061052 fall within Centerra (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061052 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061052 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061052 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.