Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013723310 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,510 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood of Goodyear centers on tract 04013723310, which scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,510 residents. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,750 a month while the average household earns $145,676 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.3336, -112.4368 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Estrella Mountain Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Estrella Mountain Ranch
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 04013723310
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723310?
What is the average rent in tract 04013723310?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723310?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723310?
Is tract 04013723310 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?
What share of households in tract 04013723310 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013723310 compare to Goodyear overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.