Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goodyear

Tract 04013061054 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,765 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013061054 sits in the Pebblecreek neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 6,765 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 67% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 29% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,831/month against a median household income of $103,046 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units3,501

Renter share22.5%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$103,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4701, -112.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pebblecreek scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,831 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Pebblecreek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061054

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061054?

Census tract 04013061054 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061054?

Median gross rent is $1,831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061054?

5.8% of residents in tract 04013061054 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,765.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061054?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 45th, minority 50th, housing 44th.

Is tract 04013061054 considered part of Pebblecreek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061054 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061054 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061054 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061054 scores 5.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.