Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Sage Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale
Tract 04013061013 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,973 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Eviction risk in Sage Creek in Avondale centers on tract 04013061013, which scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,973 residents. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,872 monthly, set against $106,200 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,153
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$106,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.5014, -112.3261 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sage Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,872 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Sage Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 307Total filings over 4 yrs
- 77.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 211.3%Peak (2004)
- 132Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sage Creek
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 307 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 77.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 211.3% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061013?
Census tract 04013061013 in the Sage Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061013?
Median gross rent is $1,872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061013?
14.0% of residents in tract 04013061013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,973.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 47th, minority 63th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061013 considered part of Sage Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061013 fall within Sage Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061013?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 307 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061013 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 77.84% of renter households, peaking at 211.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061013 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061013 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013061013 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082209
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082024
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Alamar
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082210
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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