Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

Sage Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Avondale

Tract 04013061013 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,973 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04013061013 sits in the Sage Creek neighborhood of Avondale, Arizona. It has a population of 6,973 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 54% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 25% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,872/month against a median household income of $106,200 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,153

Renter share41.3%

SVI overall0.31

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$106,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.5014, -112.3261 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sage Creek scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Avondale

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,872 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Avondale

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Avondale

7.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Avondale

6.4

How Sage Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

307Total filings over 4 yrs
77.84%Avg annual filing rate
211.3%Peak (2004)
132Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
8.9%Transit barriers
12.9%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
27.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061013

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061013?

Census tract 04013061013 in the Sage Creek neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061013?

Median gross rent is $1,872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061013?

14.0% of residents in tract 04013061013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,973.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061013?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 47th, minority 63th, housing 5th.

Is tract 04013061013 considered part of Sage Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061013 fall within Sage Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061013?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 307 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061013 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 77.84% of renter households, peaking at 211.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013061013 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061013 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061013 scores 6.2/10 — right in line with the parent city of Avondale at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.