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Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Sage Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,973 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

Sage Creek is a one-tract neighborhood of Avondale, AZ, population 6,973. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Against a Avondale baseline of 32.7%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 307 eviction filings.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 211.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 47.3% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Avondale, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

Average gross rent runs $1,872, close to the Avondale average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,200. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Sage Creek vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.7% +64%
Avondale: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,872 +2%
Avondale: $1,832
Average HH income
$106,200 +31%
Avondale: $81,260
Poverty rate
14.0% +28%
Avondale: 10.9%
Renter share
41.3% +8%
Avondale: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sage Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why Sage Creek scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
14.0% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Sage Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sage Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sage Creek: 3.93.9Sage CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Sage Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061013 3.9 6,973 54% $1,872
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sage Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 307Total filings (sum)
  • 77.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 211.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 47.31%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sage Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sage Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sage Creek?

Sage Creek scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sage Creek compare to Avondale overall?

Sage Creek scores 0.2 points lower than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,872 vs $1,832.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sage Creek?

Average gross rent in Sage Creek is $1,872/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sage Creek residents are renters?

41% of Sage Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 6,973 residents.
Q5

Is Sage Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Sage Creek sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Sage Creek for landlords?

Sage Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Sage Creek?

Sage Creek has 7,291 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.2%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sage Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sage Creek.

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