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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013082209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,146

04013082209 is a census tract in Avondale, AZ. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,146. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 16% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units932
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$44,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4318, -112.2960 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 082209Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2004)
  • 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130822092001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (6.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

Food insecurity runs 41.7% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $44,595, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $1,280 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Avondale commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082209

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082209?

Census tract 04013082209 in Avondale scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082209?

Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082209?

22.2% of residents in tract 04013082209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 100th, minority 95th, housing 48th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082209?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013082209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013082209 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013082209 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082209 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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