Blue Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye
Tract 04013050612 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 10,837 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013050612 in the Blue Horizons area of Buckeye, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 10,837. Cost burden runs 10% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buckeye and the region
Centroid at 33.4484, -112.4931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Horizons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Blue Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Blue Horizons
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
The voucher gap is 21.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,359 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Buckeye commands. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $102,563.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013050612
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050612?
What is the average rent in tract 04013050612?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050612?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050612?
Is tract 04013050612 considered part of Blue Horizons?
What share of households in tract 04013050612 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013050612 compare to Buckeye overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye
Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.