1 census tracts · pop 10,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Blue Horizons maps to a single census tract in Buckeye, AZ and houses 10,837 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Buckeye baseline of 28.3%, 10% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. The voucher gap is 21.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Average gross rent is $2,359, 20% above the Buckeye average of $1,963. The severe-burden share is 10%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.1/10.
Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Buckeye, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Phoenix Skyline West 2 and Sundance score within a fraction of it.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $102,563.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Blue Horizons vs BuckeyeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blue Horizons
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.7%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
27.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Blue Horizons
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Horizons?
Blue Horizons scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Blue Horizons compare to Buckeye overall?
Blue Horizons scores 0.4 points lower than Buckeye overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 10% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,359 vs $1,963.
Q3
What is the average rent in Blue Horizons?
Average gross rent in Blue Horizons is $2,359/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Blue Horizons residents are renters?
9% of Blue Horizons households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Buckeye). The neighborhood has 10,837 residents.
Q5
Is Blue Horizons a high social-vulnerability area?
Blue Horizons sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Blue Horizons for landlords?
Blue Horizons carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buckeye as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Horizons?
Blue Horizons has 11,852 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
