Neighborhood · Buckeye, AZ

Blue Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 10,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.9/10 · range 1.9–1.9

Blue Horizons is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Buckeye with 1 census tract and a population of 10,837 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 10% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,359/month sits 20% higher than the Buckeye citywide average ($1,963).

Risk score

1.9

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Blue Horizons vs Buckeye How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

9.9% -65%

Buckeye: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$2,359 +20%

Buckeye: $1,963

Average HH income

$102,563 +4%

Buckeye: $98,778

Poverty rate

5.3% -22%

Buckeye: 6.8%

Renter share

8.6% -38%

Buckeye: 14.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Horizons and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.9–1.9

Why Blue Horizons scores 1.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

10% of income on rent · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

9% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Economic stress

5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Risk score comparison

Blue Horizons vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Blue Horizons

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013050612	1.9	10,837	10%	$2,359

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 21%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 1%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blue Horizons

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.7%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
27.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Blue Horizons

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Horizons?

Blue Horizons scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Blue Horizons compare to Buckeye overall?

Blue Horizons scores 0.6 points lower than Buckeye overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 10% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,359 vs $1,963.

What is the average rent in Blue Horizons?

Average gross rent in Blue Horizons is $2,359/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Blue Horizons residents are renters?

9% of Blue Horizons households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Buckeye). The neighborhood has 10,837 residents.

Is Blue Horizons a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Horizons sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Blue Horizons for landlords?

Blue Horizons carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buckeye as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Horizons?

Blue Horizons has 11,852 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Horizons

2 Canyon Trails 3 tracts · pop 14,357 2.2 Estrella Vista 2 tracts · pop 8,052 1.8 Pebblecreek 3 tracts · pop 18,269 1.4 Estrella Mountain Ranch 3 tracts · pop 8,726 2.9 Valencia 2 tracts · pop 14,063 3.9 Litchfield Junction 3 tracts · pop 10,965

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buckeye

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blue Horizons.

2.1 Phoenix Skyline West 2 1 tracts · pop 5,666 2.2 Sundance 1 tracts · pop 4,054 2.2 Buckeye North 1 tracts · pop 5,130 2.2 Westpark 1 tracts · pop 3,021 1.1 Pasqualetti Mountain Ranch 1 tracts · pop 8,309 1.1 Verrado East District 1 tracts · pop 8,240

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