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Neighborhood · Buckeye, AZ

Valencia Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 14,063 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.7–3.9

Valencia takes in 2 census tracts of Buckeye, AZ and houses 14,063 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.8/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Buckeye baseline of 28.3%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,337 a month, rents sit 32% under what the rest of Buckeye commands. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2/10. Court records carry 417 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

19.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 25.8% of renter households.

That places it #2 of 9 neighborhoods in Buckeye. Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Montiere and Phoenix Skyline West 2. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valencia vs Buckeye How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +44%
Buckeye: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,337 -32%
Buckeye: $1,963
Average HH income
$74,068 -25%
Buckeye: $98,778
Poverty rate
10.8% +58%
Buckeye: 6.8%
Renter share
33.0% +137%
Buckeye: 14.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valencia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–3.9

Why Valencia scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.8 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Valencia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valencia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8ValenciaNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Valencia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013050701 3.9 7,619 38% $1,515
04013050702 3.7 6,444 44% $1,126
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Valencia

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 12.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 10.30%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valencia

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valencia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valencia?

Valencia scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valencia compare to Buckeye overall?

Valencia scores 0.4 points higher than Buckeye overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,337 vs $1,963.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valencia?

Average gross rent in Valencia is $1,337/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valencia residents are renters?

33% of Valencia households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Buckeye). The neighborhood has 14,063 residents.
Q5

Is Valencia a high social-vulnerability area?

Valencia sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valencia have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valencia is census tract 04013050701 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 3.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Valencia for landlords?

Valencia carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buckeye as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valencia?

Valencia has 14,220 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (36%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valencia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buckeye

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valencia.

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