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Neighborhood · Buckeye, AZ

Valencia Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 14,063 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.7–3.9

Valencia takes in 2 census tracts of Buckeye, AZ and houses 14,063 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.8/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Buckeye baseline of 28.3%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,337 a month, rents sit 32% under what the rest of Buckeye commands. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2/10. Court records carry 417 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

19.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 25.8% of renter households.

That places it #2 of 9 neighborhoods in Buckeye. Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Montiere and Phoenix Skyline West 2. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valencia vs Buckeye How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +44%
Buckeye: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,337 -32%
Buckeye: $1,963
Average HH income
$74,068 -25%
Buckeye: $98,778
Poverty rate
10.8% +58%
Buckeye: 6.8%
Renter share
33.0% +137%
Buckeye: 14.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valencia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–3.9

Why Valencia scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.8 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Valencia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valencia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valencia: 3.83.8ValenciaNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Valencia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013050701 3.9 7,619 38% $1,515
04013050702 3.7 6,444 44% $1,126
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Valencia

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 12.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 10.30%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valencia

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valencia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valencia?

Valencia scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valencia compare to Buckeye overall?

Valencia scores 0.4 points higher than Buckeye overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,337 vs $1,963.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valencia?

Average gross rent in Valencia is $1,337/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valencia residents are renters?

33% of Valencia households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Buckeye). The neighborhood has 14,063 residents.
Q5

Is Valencia a high social-vulnerability area?

Valencia sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valencia have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valencia is census tract 04013050701 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 3.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Valencia for landlords?

Valencia carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buckeye as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valencia?

Valencia has 14,220 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (36%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valencia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buckeye

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valencia.

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