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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Orangetree Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013810300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,218 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 04013810300 covers part of the Orangetree area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,218 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 25% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,555
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$92,762

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Orangetree
Very Low
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Elevated
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#926 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3276, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orangetree scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,956 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Orangetree compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orangetree risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 810300Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 185Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2005)
  • 49Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138103002001: 22 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 31 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 43 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2004: 40 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2005: 49 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 123% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orangetree. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orangetree

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Court records carry 185 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,956, close to the Chandler average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $92,762. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013810300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013810300?

Census tract 04013810300 in the Orangetree neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013810300?

Median gross rent is $1,956/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013810300?

4.8% of residents in tract 04013810300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013810300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 78th, minority 64th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 04013810300 considered part of Orangetree?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013810300 fall within Orangetree (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013810300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013810300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013810300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013810300 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013810300 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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