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Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

Orangetree Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,845 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3.1

Orangetree is a 2-tract neighborhood of Chandler, AZ and houses 8,845 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chandler rate of 28.4%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records carry 237 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households.

That places it #10 of 34 neighborhoods in Chandler. Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Premiere at Desert Breeze and Avier East score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,817, close to the Chandler average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $91,660.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orangetree vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.5% +60%
Chandler: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,817 -4%
Chandler: $1,902
Average HH income
$91,660 -12%
Chandler: $103,691
Poverty rate
6.3% -18%
Chandler: 7.7%
Renter share
36.7% +5%
Chandler: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orangetree and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.1

Why Orangetree scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.5 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Orangetree vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orangetree score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Orangetree: 3.03.0OrangetreeNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orangetree

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422211 3.1 2,627 56% $1,489
04013810300 3 6,218 41% $1,956
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orangetree

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings (sum)
  • 5.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 5.12%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Orangetree

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Orangetree

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orangetree?

Orangetree scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orangetree compare to Chandler overall?

Orangetree scores 0.2 points lower than Chandler overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,817 vs $1,902.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orangetree?

Average gross rent in Orangetree is $1,817/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orangetree residents are renters?

37% of Orangetree households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 8,845 residents.
Q5

Is Orangetree a high social-vulnerability area?

Orangetree sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orangetree have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orangetree is census tract 04013422211 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.1, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Orangetree for landlords?

Orangetree carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orangetree?

Orangetree has 9,012 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orangetree

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orangetree.

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