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Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

Orangetree Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,845 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3.1

Orangetree is a 2-tract neighborhood of Chandler, AZ and houses 8,845 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chandler rate of 28.4%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records carry 237 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households.

That places it #10 of 34 neighborhoods in Chandler. Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Premiere at Desert Breeze and Avier East score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,817, close to the Chandler average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $91,660.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orangetree vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.5% +60%
Chandler: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,817 -4%
Chandler: $1,902
Average HH income
$91,660 -12%
Chandler: $103,691
Poverty rate
6.3% -18%
Chandler: 7.7%
Renter share
36.7% +5%
Chandler: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orangetree and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.1

Why Orangetree scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.5 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Orangetree vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orangetree score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0OrangetreeNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orangetree

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013422211 3.1 2,627 56% $1,489
04013810300 3 6,218 41% $1,956
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orangetree

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings (sum)
  • 5.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 5.12%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Orangetree

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Orangetree

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orangetree?

Orangetree scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orangetree compare to Chandler overall?

Orangetree scores 0.2 points lower than Chandler overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,817 vs $1,902.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orangetree?

Average gross rent in Orangetree is $1,817/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orangetree residents are renters?

37% of Orangetree households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 8,845 residents.
Q5

Is Orangetree a high social-vulnerability area?

Orangetree sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orangetree have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orangetree is census tract 04013422211 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.1, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Orangetree for landlords?

Orangetree carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orangetree?

Orangetree has 9,012 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orangetree

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orangetree.

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