The Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013812500 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,219 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013812500 covers part of the The Trails area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,219 residents. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.2689, -111.7843 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Trails scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 3 yrs
- 107.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 92.5%Peak (2005)
- 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in The Trails
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $2,484 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 3 tracked years.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2005, when 92.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 107.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04013812500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013812500?
What is the average rent in tract 04013812500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013812500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013812500?
Is tract 04013812500 considered part of The Trails?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013812500?
What share of households in tract 04013812500 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013812500 compare to Chandler overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.