The Trails Eviction Risk: Lower
1 census tracts · pop 2,219 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3
The Trails maps to a single census tract in Chandler, AZ and houses 2,219 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10. At $2,484 a month, rents sit 31% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 14 eviction filings. Cost burden runs roughly one in four against 28.4% citywide, putting The Trails 4.2% under its own city.
SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 92.5% of renter households.
Food insecurity affects 9.3% of adults, 8.5 points below the national rate. That places it #10 of 34 neighborhoods in Chandler.
Judgments average 62.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $179,444, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across The Trails and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3
Why The Trails scores 3
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyThe Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
1 tracts in The Trails
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013812500 | 3 | 2,219 | 24% | $2,484 |
CDC SVI percentile: 11
Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in The Trails
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings (sum)
- 107.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 92.5%Peak year (2005)
- 92.48%Latest filed (2005)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Trails
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 20.4%Any disability
About The Trails
How does The Trails compare to Chandler overall?
What is the average rent in The Trails?
What percentage of The Trails residents are renters?
Is The Trails a high social-vulnerability area?
How safe is The Trails for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of The Trails?
Other neighborhoods near The Trails
Other neighborhoods inside Chandler
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Trails.