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Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

The Trails Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,219 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

The Trails is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Chandler with 1 census tract and a population of 2,219 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 24% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,484/month sits 31% higher than the Chandler citywide median ($1,902).

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Trails vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.2% -15%
Chandler: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$2,484 +31%
Chandler: $1,902
Average HH income
$179,444 +73%
Chandler: $103,691
Poverty rate
0.2% -97%
Chandler: 7.7%
Renter share
10.1% -71%
Chandler: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why The Trails scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
0.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

The Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Trails: 4.24.2The TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013812500 4.2 2,219 24% $2,484
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Trails

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings (sum)
  • 107.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 92.5%Peak year (2005)
  • 92.48%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Trails?

The Trails scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does The Trails compare to Chandler overall?

The Trails scores 1.5 points higher than Chandler overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $2,484 vs $1,902.

Q3

What is the average rent in The Trails?

Median gross rent in The Trails is $2,484/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of The Trails residents are renters?

10% of The Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 2,219 residents.

Q5

Is The Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

The Trails sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is The Trails for landlords?

The Trails carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Trails?

The Trails has 2,135 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Hispanic / Latino (21.3%), Other / Multiracial (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Trails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Trails.

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