Neighborhood · Gilbert, AZ

Gilbert Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 18,710 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.5

Gilbert Ranch spans 4 census tracts of Gilbert, AZ, population 18,710. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 28.9% citywide, putting Gilbert Ranch 17.8% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 189 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

SNAP participation is 6.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 8.2% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,896, 10% below the Gilbert average of $2,110.

That places it #2 of 16 neighborhoods in Gilbert. Judgments average 9.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 4 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Gilbert Ranch vs Gilbert How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.7% +62%

Gilbert: 28.9%

Average gross rent

$1,896 -10%

Gilbert: $2,110

Average HH income

$97,804 -19%

Gilbert: $121,351

Poverty rate

4.4% -14%

Gilbert: 5.1%

Renter share

42.0% +56%

Gilbert: 26.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.5

Why Gilbert Ranch scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

42% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–5.2 across tracts

4.7

Risk score comparison

Gilbert Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Gilbert Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.5 points from 3 to 3.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Gilbert Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013815502	3.5	3,077	66%	$1,736
04013814600	3	6,025	62%	$1,841
04013814500	3	5,130	41%	$1,967
04013815000	3	4,478	20%	$1,997

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 18%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 26%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gilbert Ranch

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

189Total filings (sum)
17.17%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak year (2005)
5.59%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gilbert Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.9%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
8.2%No health insurance
22.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Gilbert Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Gilbert Ranch?

Gilbert Ranch scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Gilbert Ranch compare to Gilbert overall?

Gilbert Ranch scores 0.1 points lower than Gilbert overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,896 vs $2,110.

What is the average rent in Gilbert Ranch?

Average gross rent in Gilbert eviction risk Ranch is $1,896/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Gilbert Ranch residents are renters?

42% of Gilbert Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Gilbert). The neighborhood has 18,710 residents.

Is Gilbert Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Gilbert Ranch sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Gilbert Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Gilbert Ranch is census tract 04013815502 (score 3.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.5 points.

How safe is Gilbert Ranch for landlords?

Gilbert eviction risk Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gilbert as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Gilbert Ranch?

Gilbert Ranch has 18,739 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), Hispanic / Latino (23.5%), Other / Multiracial (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gilbert Ranch

3 Higley Park 4 tracts · pop 17,163 3 Colonial Coronita 4 tracts · pop 15,622 3 Arboreta 3 tracts · pop 12,060 3 Stonebridge Lakes Manor 6 tracts · pop 26,637 3 Morrison Ranch 4 tracts · pop 21,352 3 Val Vista Lakes 3 tracts · pop 10,467

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gilbert

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gilbert Ranch.

3.1 The Bridges at Gilbert 3 tracts · pop 10,983 3 Arboreta 3 tracts · pop 12,060 3 The Spectrum at Val Vista 1 tracts · pop 7,709 3 Power Ranch 4 tracts · pop 23,569 3 Sunview 2 tracts · pop 9,027 3 Copperleaf 1 tracts · pop 5,574

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