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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Gilbert Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013815000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,478 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

04013815000 is a census tract in the Gilbert Ranch area of Gilbert, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,478 residents. 20% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,384
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$152,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Gilbert Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#970 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3139, -111.7646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gilbert Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,997 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Gilbert Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gilbert Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 815000Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2005)
  • 6Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138150002001: 2 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (7.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (5.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 6 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gilbert Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gilbert Ranch

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 1.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $152,276, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815000?

Census tract 04013815000 in the Gilbert Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013815000?

Median gross rent is $1,997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815000?

1.4% of residents in tract 04013815000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 11th, minority 40th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 04013815000 considered part of Gilbert Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815000 fall within Gilbert Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013815000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013815000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013815000 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013815000 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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