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Neighborhood · Glendale, AZ

The Citadel Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,224 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.7–4.9

The Citadel is a 2-tract neighborhood of Glendale, AZ, population 11,224. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. Against a Glendale baseline of 34.4%, 52% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.7/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 1,849 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

At $1,314 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Glendale commands. 18.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 30.7% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 19.0% in 2005 against a 30.7% peak.

Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Glendale, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Citadel vs Glendale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.2% +52%
Glendale: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$1,314 -14%
Glendale: $1,528
Average HH income
$58,625 -16%
Glendale: $70,139
Poverty rate
18.9% +17%
Glendale: 16.2%
Renter share
62.5% +46%
Glendale: 42.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Citadel and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–4.9

Why The Citadel scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
18.9% below poverty line · Range 3.2–6.7 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–1.8 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

The Citadel vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Citadel score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Citadel: 4.84.8The CitadelNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Citadel

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013092305 4.9 4,873 43% $1,292
04013092312 4.7 6,351 59% $1,330
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Citadel

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,849Total filings (sum)
  • 19.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.7%Peak year (2004)
  • 18.50%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Citadel

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Citadel

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Citadel?

The Citadel scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Citadel compare to Glendale overall?

The Citadel scores 1.3 points higher than Glendale overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,314 vs $1,528.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Citadel?

Average gross rent in The Citadel is $1,314/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Citadel residents are renters?

63% of The Citadel households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Glendale). The neighborhood has 11,224 residents.
Q5

Is The Citadel a high social-vulnerability area?

The Citadel sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Citadel have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Citadel is census tract 04013092305 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 4.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is The Citadel for landlords?

The Citadel carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Glendale as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Citadel?

The Citadel has 11,809 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.2%), Hispanic / Latino (23.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Citadel

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Glendale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Citadel.

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