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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013107102 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,414

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013107102 in Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$46,881

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5132, -112.1431 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,287 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 107102Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,098Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 24.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.9%Peak (2005)
  • 274Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131071022001: 204 filings (22.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 164 filings (17.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 202 filings (21.86/100 renter HHs)2004: 254 filings (27.49/100 renter HHs)2005: 274 filings (33.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

Food insecurity runs 38.9% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $46,881, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $1,287, 19% below the Phoenix average. Court records carry 1,098 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2005 at 33.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 24.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013107102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013107102?

Census tract 04013107102 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013107102?

Median gross rent is $1,287/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013107102?

27.9% of residents in tract 04013107102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,414.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013107102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 63th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013107102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,098 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013107102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.61% of renter households, peaking at 33.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013107102 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013107102 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013107102 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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