Neighborhood · Ranked #37,857 of 84,120 nationally

Buckhorn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422625 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,160 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013422625 sits in the Buckhorn neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 5,160 and an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). 69% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 47% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,011/month against a median household income of $43,973 — roughly 55% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 10% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units2,053

Renter share31.9%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate18.5%

Median income$43,973

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4122, -111.7008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buckhorn scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

18.5% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$2,011 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Buckhorn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

272Total filings over 5 yrs
34.26%Avg annual filing rate
41.6%Peak (2001)
48Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Buckhorn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
15.7%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
43.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422625

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422625?

Census tract 04013422625 in the Buckhorn neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422625?

Median gross rent is $2,011/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422625?

18.5% of residents in tract 04013422625 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,160.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422625?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 54th, housing 100th.

Is tract 04013422625 considered part of Buckhorn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422625 fall within Buckhorn (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422625?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422625 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.26% of renter households, peaking at 41.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013422625 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422625 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422625 scores 5.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.