Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Buckhorn Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422639 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,579 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
The Buckhorn neighborhood of Mesa is where census tract 04013422639 sits, home to 3,579 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.7/10. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,646 a month while the average household earns $92,670 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,311
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$92,670
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3985, -111.6963 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buckhorn scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Buckhorn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 0%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 165Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.1%Peak (2002)
- 24Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buckhorn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.0%Housing insecurity
- 1.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.0%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.2%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 8.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buckhorn
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 165 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 12.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.1% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422639
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422639?
Census tract 04013422639 in the Buckhorn neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422639?
Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422639?
4.9% of residents in tract 04013422639 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422639?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 46th, minority 0th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422639 considered part of Buckhorn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422639 fall within Buckhorn (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422639?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422639 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.05% of renter households, peaking at 24.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422639 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422639 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422639 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Mesa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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