Eastmark Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

The voucher gap is 37.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.