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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Eastmark Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 14,285 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Eastmark spans 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 14,285. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Mesa rate of 32.3%. At $2,484 a month, rents sit 53% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side is supply constraint at 7.7/10. SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third.

At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Copperstone and Rancho de Arboleda score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Eastmark vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +70%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$2,484 +53%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$144,463 +83%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
1.9% -82%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
7.7% -78%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eastmark and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Eastmark scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
1.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–8.8 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Eastmark vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Eastmark score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0EastmarkNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Eastmark

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013422647 3 8,076 57% $2,329
04013422648 3 6,209 53% $2,685
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Eastmark

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Eastmark

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Eastmark?

Eastmark scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Eastmark compare to Mesa overall?

Eastmark scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,484 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Eastmark?

Average gross rent in Eastmark is $2,484/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Eastmark residents are renters?

8% of Eastmark households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 14,285 residents.
Q5

Is Eastmark a high social-vulnerability area?

Eastmark sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Eastmark have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Eastmark is census tract 04013422647 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Eastmark for landlords?

Eastmark carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Eastmark?

Eastmark has 16,238 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Eastmark

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Eastmark.

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