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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Eastmark Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 14,285 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Eastmark spans 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 14,285. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Mesa rate of 32.3%. At $2,484 a month, rents sit 53% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side is supply constraint at 7.7/10. SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third.

At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Copperstone and Rancho de Arboleda score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Eastmark vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +70%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$2,484 +53%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$144,463 +83%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
1.9% -82%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
7.7% -78%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eastmark and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Eastmark scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
1.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–8.8 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Eastmark vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Eastmark score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Eastmark: 3.03.0EastmarkNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Eastmark

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422647 3 8,076 57% $2,329
04013422648 3 6,209 53% $2,685
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Eastmark

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Eastmark

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Eastmark?

Eastmark scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Eastmark compare to Mesa overall?

Eastmark scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,484 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Eastmark?

Average gross rent in Eastmark is $2,484/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Eastmark residents are renters?

8% of Eastmark households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 14,285 residents.
Q5

Is Eastmark a high social-vulnerability area?

Eastmark sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Eastmark have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Eastmark is census tract 04013422647 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Eastmark for landlords?

Eastmark carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Eastmark?

Eastmark has 16,238 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Eastmark

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Eastmark.

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