Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422634 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,186 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 04013422634 covers part of the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,186 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,148
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$58,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3864, -111.6578 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fountain of the Sun scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,439 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fountain of the Sun compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 87Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2005)
- 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 17.0%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 87 evictions over 5 years of observation.
At $1,439 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $58,750.
30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422634
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422634?
Census tract 04013422634 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422634?
Median gross rent is $1,439/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422634?
9.4% of residents in tract 04013422634 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,186.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422634?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 95th, minority 63th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422634 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422634 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422634?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422634 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.65% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422634 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422634 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422634 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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