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Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422609 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,490 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 04013422609 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood of Mesa ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,490 residents. On the national scale it ranks #50,399 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,606 a month against an average household income of $79,600 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$79,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Fountain of the Sun
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Moderate
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4014, -111.6749 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fountain of the Sun compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fountain of the Sun risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 422609Mesa: 2.82.8Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2005)
  • 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134226092001: 17 filings (6.80/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (4.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422609

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422609?

Census tract 04013422609 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422609?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422609?

9.9% of residents in tract 04013422609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,490.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 75th, minority 55th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422609 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422609 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422609?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422609 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422609 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422609 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422609 scores 2.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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