Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422609 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,490 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
04013422609 is a census tract in the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,490. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$79,600
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4014, -111.6749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fountain of the Sun scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fountain of the Sun compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 84Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2005)
- 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,606, close to the Mesa average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422609
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422609?
Census tract 04013422609 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422609?
Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422609?
9.9% of residents in tract 04013422609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,490.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422609?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 75th, minority 55th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422609 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422609 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422609?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422609 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422609 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422609 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422609 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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