Skip to content
Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 22,068 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.5–5.0

Fountain of the Sun is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 6 census tracts and a population of 22,068 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,436/month sits 11% lower than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Fountain of the Sun vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.1% +40%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,436 -11%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$64,274 -18%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
9.7% -8%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
23.4% -34%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fountain of the Sun and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.5–5.0

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
9.7% below poverty line · Range 1.5–3.3 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Fountain of the Sun vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fountain of the Sun score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fountain of the Su: 4.84.8Fountain of the SuNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fountain of the Sun?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.5 points from 4.5 to 5.0. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Fountain of the Sun

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422609 5.0 4,490 50% $1,606
04013422627 5.0 3,487 49% $1,096
04013422610 4.9 3,064 60% $1,385
04013422659 4.8 1,995 45% $1,821
04013422634 4.6 5,186 39% $1,439
04013422632 4.5 3,846 32% $1,383
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fountain of the Sun

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 475Total filings (sum)
  • 8.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.2%Peak year (2005)
  • 8.09%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fountain of the Sun

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fountain of the Sun

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fountain of the Sun?

Fountain of the Sun scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Fountain of the Sun compare to Mesa overall?

Fountain of the Sun scores 1.7 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,436 vs $1,620.

Q3

What is the average rent in Fountain of the Sun?

Median gross rent in Fountain of the Sun is $1,436/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Fountain of the Sun residents are renters?

23% of Fountain of the Sun households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 22,068 residents.

Q5

Is Fountain of the Sun a high social-vulnerability area?

Fountain of the Sun sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Fountain of the Sun have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fountain of the Sun is census tract 04013422609 (score 5.0/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.0 — a spread of 0.5 points.

Q7

How safe is Fountain of the Sun for landlords?

Fountain of the Sun carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fountain of the Sun?

Fountain of the Sun has 21,948 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Hispanic / Latino (21.7%), Other / Multiracial (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fountain of the Sun

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fountain of the Sun.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further