Neighborhood · Ranked #53,256 of 84,120 nationally

Kingsgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422302 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,667 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013422302 sits in the Kingsgate neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 5,667 and an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). 56% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 28% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,400/month against a median household income of $73,393 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 21% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units2,057

Renter share49.0%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate8.2%

Median income$73,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3861, -111.7971 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kingsgate scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

8.2% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$1,400 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Kingsgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

62%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

850Total filings over 5 yrs
20.55%Avg annual filing rate
24.3%Peak (2004)
153Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
12.8%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
28.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422302?

Census tract 04013422302 in the Kingsgate neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422302?

Median gross rent is $1,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422302?

8.2% of residents in tract 04013422302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,667.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 84th, minority 63th, housing 54th.

Is tract 04013422302 considered part of Kingsgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422302 fall within Kingsgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 850 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.55% of renter households, peaking at 24.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013422302 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422302 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422302 scores 4.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.