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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Kingsgate Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Kingsgate maps to a single census tract in Mesa, AZ and houses 5,667 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Mesa rate of 32.3%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 850 eviction filings. At $1,400 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 24.3% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 23.7% in 2005 against a 24.3% peak. That places it #15 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $73,393. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kingsgate vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.3% +74%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,400 -14%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$73,393 -7%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
8.2% -22%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
49.0% +38%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kingsgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Kingsgate scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Kingsgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kingsgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3KingsgateNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Kingsgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013422302 3.3 5,667 56% $1,400
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Kingsgate

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 850Total filings (sum)
  • 20.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 23.72%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kingsgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Kingsgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kingsgate?

Kingsgate scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Kingsgate compare to Mesa overall?

Kingsgate scores 0.1 points higher than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,400 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Kingsgate?

Average gross rent in Kingsgate is $1,400/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Kingsgate residents are renters?

49% of Kingsgate households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 5,667 residents.
Q5

Is Kingsgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Kingsgate sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Kingsgate for landlords?

Kingsgate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Kingsgate?

Kingsgate has 5,332 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kingsgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kingsgate.

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