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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Kingsgate Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Kingsgate is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Mesa with 1 census tract and a population of 5,667 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,400/month sits 14% lower than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kingsgate vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.3% +74%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,400 -14%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$73,393 -7%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
8.2% -22%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
49.0% +38%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kingsgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Kingsgate scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Kingsgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kingsgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Kingsgate: 4.94.9KingsgateNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Kingsgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422302 4.9 5,667 56% $1,400
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Kingsgate

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 850Total filings (sum)
  • 20.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 23.72%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kingsgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Kingsgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kingsgate?

Kingsgate scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Kingsgate compare to Mesa overall?

Kingsgate scores 1.8 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,400 vs $1,620.

Q3

What is the average rent in Kingsgate?

Median gross rent in Kingsgate is $1,400/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Kingsgate residents are renters?

49% of Kingsgate households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 5,667 residents.

Q5

Is Kingsgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Kingsgate sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is Kingsgate for landlords?

Kingsgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Kingsgate?

Kingsgate has 5,332 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kingsgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kingsgate.

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