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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Kingsgate Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Kingsgate maps to a single census tract in Mesa, AZ and houses 5,667 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Mesa rate of 32.3%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 850 eviction filings. At $1,400 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 24.3% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 23.7% in 2005 against a 24.3% peak. That places it #15 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $73,393. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kingsgate vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.3% +74%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,400 -14%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$73,393 -7%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
8.2% -22%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
49.0% +38%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kingsgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Kingsgate scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Kingsgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kingsgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Kingsgate: 3.33.3KingsgateNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Kingsgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422302 3.3 5,667 56% $1,400
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Kingsgate

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 850Total filings (sum)
  • 20.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 23.72%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kingsgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Kingsgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kingsgate?

Kingsgate scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Kingsgate compare to Mesa overall?

Kingsgate scores 0.1 points higher than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,400 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Kingsgate?

Average gross rent in Kingsgate is $1,400/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Kingsgate residents are renters?

49% of Kingsgate households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 5,667 residents.
Q5

Is Kingsgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Kingsgate sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Kingsgate for landlords?

Kingsgate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Kingsgate?

Kingsgate has 5,332 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kingsgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kingsgate.

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