Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422227 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,522 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

04013422227 is a census tract in the Knoell East area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,522. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 16% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units683

Renter share25.6%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$84,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3835, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Knoell East scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,497 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Knoell East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Knoell East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
9.5%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Knoell East

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,497, close to the Mesa average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $84,313. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422227

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422227?

Census tract 04013422227 in the Knoell East neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422227?

Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422227?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013422227 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,522.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422227?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 6th, minority 47th, housing 9th.

Is tract 04013422227 considered part of Knoell East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422227 fall within Knoell East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013422227 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422227 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422227 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.