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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 8,032 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.2–4.5

Knoell East is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 3 census tracts and a population of 8,032 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,673/month sits 3% higher than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Knoell East vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.5% -12%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,673 +3%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$99,869 +27%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
5.1% -51%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
13.9% -61%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Knoell East and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.2–4.5

Why Knoell East scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.2 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Knoell East vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Knoell East score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Knoell East: 4.34.3Knoell EastNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Knoell East?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 4.2 to 4.5. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Knoell East

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422227 4.5 1,522 37% $1,497
04013422213 4.3 2,421 25% $1,799
04013422212 4.2 4,089 27% $1,664
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Knoell East

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 107Total filings (sum)
  • 6.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 4.93%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Knoell East

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Knoell East

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Knoell East?

Knoell East scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Knoell East compare to Mesa overall?

Knoell East scores 1.2 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,673 vs $1,620.

Q3

What is the average rent in Knoell East?

Median gross rent in Knoell East is $1,673/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Knoell East residents are renters?

14% of Knoell East households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 8,032 residents.

Q5

Is Knoell East a high social-vulnerability area?

Knoell East sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Knoell East have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Knoell East is census tract 04013422227 (score 4.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.5 — a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Knoell East for landlords?

Knoell East carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Knoell East?

Knoell East has 8,270 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.7%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Knoell East

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Knoell East.

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