Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 8,032 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 2–2.6

Knoell East is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 3 census tracts and a population of 8,032 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,673/month sits 3% higher than the Mesa citywide average ($1,620).

Risk score

2.2

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Knoell East vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

28.5% -12%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,673 +3%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$99,869 +27%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

5.1% -51%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

13.9% -61%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Knoell East and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2–2.6

Why Knoell East scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

14% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.2 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Knoell East vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Knoell East?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 2 to 2.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.6 2.2 2.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Knoell East

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013422227	2.6	1,522	37%	$1,497
04013422212	2.2	4,089	27%	$1,664
04013422213	2	2,421	25%	$1,799

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 35%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 12%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Knoell East

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

107Total filings (sum)
6.62%Avg annual filing rate
14.1%Peak year (2004)
4.93%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Knoell East

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.1%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
8.3%No health insurance
25.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Knoell East

What is the eviction-risk score for Knoell East?

Knoell East scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Knoell East compare to Mesa overall?

Knoell East scores 0.6 points lower than Mesa overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,673 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Knoell East?

Average gross rent in Knoell East is $1,673/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Knoell East residents are renters?

14% of Knoell East households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 8,032 residents.

Is Knoell East a high social-vulnerability area?

Knoell East sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Knoell East have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Knoell East is census tract 04013422227 (score 2.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2 to 2.6, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Knoell East for landlords?

Knoell East carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Knoell East?

Knoell East has 8,270 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.7%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Knoell East

3.2 Dobson Shores 6 tracts · pop 12,481 3.7 McClintock Manor 5 tracts · pop 24,876 2.8 Heatherbrook 2 tracts · pop 6,233 2.1 Amberwood 4 tracts · pop 13,774 2.3 Orangetree 2 tracts · pop 8,845 3.6 McQueen 4 tracts · pop 20,349

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Knoell East.

2.2 Meridian Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,268 2.3 Woodridge Lakes 4 tracts · pop 18,992 2.3 Parkwood Ranch 1 tracts · pop 6,939 2.1 Continental at Superstition Springs 5 tracts · pop 21,203 2.1 Rancho de Arboleda 3 tracts · pop 10,822 2.4 Copperstone 2 tracts · pop 8,545

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