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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422213 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,421 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

04013422213 is a census tract in the Knoell East area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 10% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units929
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$120,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Knoell East
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#92 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#799 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3627, -111.8859 · click any tract to drill in

Why Knoell East scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,799 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Knoell East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Knoell East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422213Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 52Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134222132001: 17 filings (14.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 11 filings (9.13/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (13.28/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 82% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Knoell East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Knoell East

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 52 filings here across 5 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

At $1,799 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Mesa commands. The worst year on record was 2001, when 14.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422213

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422213?

Census tract 04013422213 in the Knoell East neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422213?

Median gross rent is $1,799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422213?

7.2% of residents in tract 04013422213 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,421.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422213?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 54th, minority 52th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422213 considered part of Knoell East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422213 fall within Knoell East (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422213?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422213 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.63% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422213 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422213 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422213 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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