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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

McQueen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422203 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,726 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013422203 sits in the McQueen area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. Population here is 5,726. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 32% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,862
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$50,741

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In McQueen
Elevated
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#322 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3836, -111.8555 · click any tract to drill in

Why McQueen scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,483 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How McQueen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McQueen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 422203Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,362Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.8%Peak (2002)
  • 281Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134222032001: 287 filings (20.99/100 renter HHs)2002: 311 filings (22.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 266 filings (19.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 217 filings (15.87/100 renter HHs)2005: 281 filings (19.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McQueen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McQueen

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $50,741 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,362 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 22.8% of renter households.

At $1,483 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Mesa commands. In a typical year about 19.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422203?

Census tract 04013422203 in the McQueen neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422203?

Median gross rent is $1,483/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422203?

11.1% of residents in tract 04013422203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,726.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 29th, minority 66th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422203 considered part of McQueen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422203 fall within McQueen (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,362 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.61% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422203 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422203 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422203 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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